What is Poisson Distribution?
Poisson random variables are used to measure counts of events. Poisson random variables are always non-negative and integer-valued. The Poisson Distribution has a single parameter called the hazard rate and is expressed as λ, which signifies the average number of events per interval. Therefore, the mean and variance of Y ~ Poisson(λ) are:
E[Y] = V[Y] = λ
PMF of Poisson:
$ f(Y)y= \frac{\lambda ^{y}exp(-\lambda)}{y!} $
CDF of Poisson:
Meanwhile, the CDF of a Poisson is defined as the sum of the PMF for values less than the input.
$ F(Y)_{y}= exp(-\lambda )\sum_{i=0}^{y}\frac{\lambda ^{i}}{i!} $
Why is Poisson Distribution important?
A Poisson distribution is a tool that helps to predict the probability of certain events happening when you know how often the event has occurred. It gives us the likelihood of a given number of events happening in a fixed time interval. One application of a Poisson is to model the number of loan defaults that occur each month.